Tool Australian Tour 2025 Looks Likely After Japan Announcement

Tool are officially heading to Japan in December 2025, and if you know your touring patterns, that almost always means one thing: Australia is next.

In the early hours of June 29, Tool quietly announced their return to Japan with shows locked for December 2025. That might not seem like a big deal on the surface, until you realise this is only the fifth time the band has ever played Japan. And on four of those occasions, they’ve followed it up with an Australian tour.

The timing couldn’t be more perfect. Aside from their slot at Black Sabbath’s farewell show in Birmingham this July, Tool’s schedule for the second half of 2025 is wide open. That leaves a prime opportunity for an Australasian run, and fans across the country are already clocking the signs.

The Japan Pattern: History Doesn’t Lie

Here’s the cold, hard touring history:

• In 2002, Tool hit Japan in April, then immediately blitzed Australia and New Zealand across late April and May.
• In 2007, they played Big Day Out in Jan–Feb, then five shows in Japan straight after.
• In 2013, they hit Aussie arenas in late April and early May before headlining Ozzfest Japan.
• In 2020, no Japan leg, but Tool hit Australia and New Zealand on a massive arena run.

See the pattern? When Tool go to Japan, Australia usually follows. Either before, after, or smashed right between. With Japan now confirmed for December 2025, the window for Aussie dates is likely late November into mid-December.

The 2025 Window Is Perfect

The band are doing their first-ever South American shows in March 2025, then joining Sabbath for one night in July. After that? Crickets.

Unless Maynard suddenly feels like bottling wine in Arizona or flying to the moon, Tool’s calendar from August through December is empty. The Japan tour plants them firmly in the region. Skipping Australia would be like flying to Tokyo and ignoring the sushi. It just doesn’t happen.

On top of that, Tool haven’t played Australia since February 2020, right before the world caved in. That tour sold out fast, with extra dates added due to demand in Sydney and Melbourne. There’s no way they don’t know the appetite is still rabid here.

The Rumour Mill Is Already Turning

Over on Facebook, Reddit, and every dusty corner of the internet where Tool fans live, speculation is on fire. A comment on a facebook post claimed that someone close to the crew has it on good authority that Tool are locked for November or December 2025. On reddit a user claimed to know similar information, even flashing guitar picks as supposed proof of their association to the bands crew.

That kind of hearsay usually gets binned, but considering the timing, it doesn’t sound far-fetched. Tool are notoriously tight-lipped with announcements. Their team has a habit of dropping tour news just a few months before shows go on sale. Case in point: the 2020 Aussie tour was announced in November 2019, just four months before fans were flooding into stadiums.

Australia Is Hungry

Tool don’t tour like most bands. They don’t grind through endless dates, and they don’t hit the same city every couple of years. When they come, it’s deliberate and it feels monumental. Their 2020 run hit all major capitals plus Auckland, complete with wild lighting rigs and some of the most meditative chaos you’ll ever see in an arena.

Now, five years on, with ‘Fear Inoculum’ having properly bedded into setlists and rumours of new material stirring in the studio, Tool returning to Australia feels not just likely. It feels necessary.

So, Will It Happen?

There’s no official word yet. No dates. No venues. No flashy teaser videos with pulses and sacred geometry. But the signs are screaming.

Tool are going to be in Japan in December 2025. Tool almost never go to Japan without coming to Australia. Tool haven’t been here in five f**king years.

If you’re a betting person, or just someone who’s been clinging to the hope of hearing ‘Third Eye’ live again, now might be the time to start saving.

We’ll keep watching, digging and reporting. But for now, we’re calling it. Tool in Australia, late 2025, looks bloody likely.